by Alan C. Miller
I expected someone to analyze the districts in each scenario relative where the incumbents were for the City council race. I don't believe anyone has. I did not know how this was going to turn out when I started analyzing the maps. I feel in a decision making process such as this, it is important that a district map, and the number of seats, not be chosen for the benefit of incumbents in future elections. The conflict would come were there two incumbents in one district. Incumbents should vote based on the 'best' choice for the City, not for them. While no conclusions may be drawn definitively for anyone's motives, this analysis is for the purpose of transparency as to possible conflicts between 'best' districts and personal wishes for re-election.
Here are the results:
MAP D-1 D-2 D-3 D-4 D-5 D-6 D-7
5-1 Dan Will Gloria - Brett/Lucas - -
5-2 Dan Will Brett/Lucas Gloria - - -
5-3 Dan Will Gloria - Brett/Lucas - -
5-4 Dan Will/Brett Lucas Gloria - - -
7-1 Dan Will Brett Gloria Lucas - -
7-2 Dan Will Gloria Brett Lucas - -
7-3 Dan Will Brett Gloria Lucas - -
7-4 Dan Will Brett - Gloria - Lucas
7-5 Dan - Brett/Will - Lucas Gloria -
7-6 Dan Will Gloria Brett Lucas - -
Dan and Gloria have no incumbent opposition in any scenario. All four 5-seat scenarios have one conflict, three of which are Brett/Lucas and the other of which is Brett/Will. Only 7-5 has a conflict in the 7-seat scenarios, also Brett/Will.
Of course, if anyone isn't running, this analysis is moot on them. Tonight should be interesting.
Alan C. Miller is a 40-year Davis Citizen who calls Old East Davis home.