For at least the past year, I have believed that this election would be a repeat of 2004 except in the other direction, and for the most part all year that has played out. Never has that been more evident than the initial post-election analysis, where we see that the Obama team utilized their ground game to perfection to do what everyone believed impossible – pull in new voters and similar numbers of blacks and youths as 2008.
In 2004, it was Karl Rove who was the master, able to rework an electorate in key battleground states like Ohio and Florida, to pull off a victory in the face of heavy disenchantment with the war in Iraq and in the fact of a 2000 election in which, not only did President Bush lose the popular vote, but many believed he would have lost Florida without the intervention of the Supreme Court in Bush v. Gore.